2012 Football Board – Week 13 Recap

As promised, this weekly recap is back and out on a Tuesday morning! It’s been a while since I’ve been able to do this and with vacations out of the way for a bit, I should be able to stick to this schedule.

In the world of the Man’s League, the playoffs are now set and I’ve made it in. Now I fully expect my team to crumble since I’ve been skating by the last few weeks thanks to the “performance” of my running backs. I’ve some how ended up with following combination: Chris Ivory, Darren Sproles, Ronnie Hillman and Rashard Mendenhall. I don’t expect to win the league with that in my RB slots. My favorite to win the whole thing is Corrupter of Youth Michael. The man has a stacked team and leads the league in scoring.

I wish everyone the best of luck in their playoffs and now on to the recap!

Closed Bets

  1. Over/Under 3,500 passing yards for C. Palmer?
    As expected, Palmer eclipsed 3,500 against the Browns in week 13. It’s still rather remarkable that Palmer has been putting up this kind of yardage this season but that’s what the NFL is now.
    Fan Vote: Over (55%)
    Winner: Over (Matthew)
  2. Who will have more carries: M. Jones-Drew or M. Lynch?
    Lynch leads 250-86. I probably should’ve call the bet last week but now it’s really out of the question. For MJD to win the bet, he’d need to average 41 carries the next 4 weeks and Lynch would not have to pick up any carries.
    Fan Vote: Jones-Drew (59%)
    Winner: Lynch (Matthew)

Open Bets

  1. Who has more fantasy points: M. Turner or A. Peterson?
    Peterson leads 203-116. Peterson is just simply amazing.
    Projected winner: A. Peterson (Matthew)
  2. Over/Under 969 receiving yards for T. Smith?
    Smith has 732 yards and is on pace for 976 yards. He had another horrible week but he’s capable of having a 140 yard week. I’m not counting him out but it wouldn’t surprise me in the least if he falls short of 900 yards at the end of the season.
    Projected winner: Over (Matthew)
  3. Who has more fantasy points: R. Wayne or P. Garcon?
    Wayne leads 127-57. Garcon had a great week and this bet would’ve been a lot closer if Garcon hadn’t gotten injured.
    Projected winner: R. Wayne (Nate)
  4. Who has more fantasy points: F. Gore or S. Jackson?
    Gore leads 136-101. The lead Gore has should be just enough to hold off Jackson. It’ll be interesting to see how much playing time either guy gets in the next few weeks given their playoff and contract statuses.
    Projected winner: F. Gore (Nate)
  5. Over/Under 44.5 targets for D. Branch?
    Branch is at 20 targets and is still unemployed.
    Projected winner: Under (Matthew)
  6. Will M. Turner be a top 10 RB?
    Turner is at #14. He may be pretty close to being done but he’s producing just enough fantasy points to linger around the top 15. He’ll need a 20 point week to make a run at the top 10.
    Projected winner: No (Matthew)
  7. Over/Under 23.5 passing TDs for C. Palmer?
    Palmer has 20 TDs and is on pace for 27. He always manages to pick up a junk time TD pass so I think he’ll win this wager by week 16.
    Projected winner: Over (Matthew)
  8. Over/Under 7.5 wins for the NY Jets?
    The Jets are at 5 wins and barely squeaked out a win versus Arizona. Their next 4 games are still fairly winnable but it could be difficult of McElroy is their QB. Here’s their remaining schedule: @JAX, @TEN, SD, @BUF.
    Projected winner: Under (Matthew)
  9. Who averages more fantasy points per start: R. Wilson or A. Luck?
    Luck leads 17.7 to 13.8. Wilson’s early season struggles will cost him this bet. In reality, these two QBs have been fairly similar for the last month or so.
    Projected winner: A. Luck (Matthew)
  10. Who has more fantasy points: M. Wallace or A. Brown?
    Wallace leads 90-53. Brown returned to action in week 12 but didn’t make much of a dent in Wallace’s lead. I don’t think there’s enough time for Brown to catch up at this point.
    Projected winner: M. Wallace (Nate)
  11. Who has more fantasy points: M. Schaub or J. Cutler?
    Schaub leads 183-129. Another week and this bet will be solidly in Schaub’s favor. I’m not counting out a late run by Cutler as he could easily have a huge with with Brandon Marshall…but the same could be said with Schaub and Andre Johnson.
    Projected winner: M. Schaub (Nate)
  12. Is D. McFadden a top 3 RB (using ppg)?
    McFadden is at #14. McFadden is pretty close to returning and eliminating the chance for Matthew to have this bet a push. McFadden needs to play at least 8 complete games and he’s currently at 7 games.
    Projected winner: No (Nate)
  13. Over/Under 44.5 Targets for any Patriots WR (excludes Welker & Lloyd)?
    Julian Edelman leads all other WRs with 32 targets and is on pace for 43. Edelman sustained a foot injury in week 13 and it’s unknown if it’ll keep him out of action. If it does, then it’ll be highly unlikely that he’ll get 45 targets.
    Projected winner: Under (Matthew)
  14. Who has more fantasy points: M. Turner or C. Johnson?
    Johnson leads 125-116. Turner just keeps finding the end zone and I don’t know how he does it. Johnson had a bad week and allowed Turner to get right back in this. This one can go either way right now but I’m sticking with CJ2K since he’s the better RB.
    Projected winner: C. Johnson (Matthew)
  15. Who has more fantasy points: P. Thomas or M. Ingram?
    Thomas leads 63-50. And Thomas is back to being part of the Saints running game. I have no idea what’s going on in New Orleans but a 13 point lead sound fairly solid at this point.
    Projected winner: P. Thomas (Nate)
  16. Who has more fantasy points from week 2 on: M. Schaub or J. Flacco?
    Schaub leads 169-152. Flacco = Inconsistent. Give me Schaub.
    Projected winner: M. Schaub (Nate)
  17. Who has more fantasy points from week 2 on: B. Roethlisberger or J. Flacco?
    Flacco leads 152-133. 19 points is a whole lot to over come and I could see it happening in just one week. But until Roethlisberger returns to action, this is Flacco’s bet to lose.
    Projected winner: J. Flacco (Matthew)
  18. Is M. Turner a top 15 RB from week 4 on?
    Here’s the latest standings.

    # Running Back Points
    1 Doug Martin, TB 166
    2 Adrian Peterson, Min 165
    3 Arian Foster, Hou 147
    4 Stevan Ridley, NE 119
    5 Chris Johnson, Ten 116
    6 Marshawn Lynch, Sea 115
    7 Trent Richardson, Cle 114
    8 Frank Gore, SF 107
    9 Ahmad Bradshaw, NYG 102
    10 Alfred Morris, Was 97
    11 Jamaal Charles, KC 93
    12 Shonn Greene, NYJ 89
    12 Michael Turner, Atl 89
    14 Mikel Leshoure, Det 88
    15 Matt Forte, Chi 87

    Projected winner: Yes (Nate)

  19. Who averages more fantasy points per game from week 6 on: A. Dalton or A. Luck?
    Dalton leads 17.1 to 16.9. This bet just keeps going back and forth, and so do my projections. Luck just throws the ball a ton and it’s amazing what he’s doing as a rookie.
    Projected winner: A. Luck (Matthew)
  20. Who has more fantasy points from week 9 on: L. Fitzgerald or D. Moore?
    Moore leads 32-19. Until there’s an NFL quality QB behind center in Arizona, this is Moore’s bet. Kurt Warner, please come back for Fitzgerald’s sake.
    Projected winner: D. Moore (Matthew)
  21. Who averages more fantasy points per game from week 10 on: R. Wilson or J. Cutler?
    Wilson leads 20.3 to 9.3. Wilson will need to play to Cutler’s level of play for this bet to get close.
    Projected winner: R. Wilson (Nate)
  22. Will the NY Giants win at least 10 games and the NFC East?
    The Giants are currently 7-5 and have a 1 game lead over Dallas and Washington. The Giants finish the season with the following schedule: vs. NO, @ATL, @BAL, vs. PHI. They may win the NFC East but I’m sticking with my assessment that they won’t win 10 games.
    Projected winner: No (Matthew)

Closing Thoughts

Nate leads the board 13-9, but Matthew cut in to Nate’s lead again this week by going 2-0. With projections, the board will be a push at 22-22.

In the hypothetical board round up (where the Ingram-Thomas weekly bet does not exist), the board is tied 9-9. With projections, Matthew will win 22-18.

If the board really ends up this close you can expect a lot of discussion about the Ingram-Thomas wager on the wrap up show. I had a feeling once this bet was made that it would make an impact on the board but I didn’t realize that it would ultimately decide who won it.