2012 Football Board – Week 10 Recap

Another holiday is coming up so that means that the board will be hiatus for a week. There will probably not be a recap for week 11 (and possibly week 12). I’ll see if I can sneak in some stat updating on the board next week but I make no promises.

Closed Bets

  1. Over/Under 2.5 INTs for C. Palmer in week 10?
    Palmer only threw one INT. Matthew easily wins this bet with 1.5 INTs to spare.
    Winner: Under (Matthew)

Open Bets

  1. Who has more fantasy points: M. Turner or A. Peterson?
    Peterson leads 164-86. Even if Peterson were to not get any more points, he’d probably still win this bet.
    Projected winner: A. Peterson (Matthew)
  2. Over/Under 969 receiving yards for T. Smith?
    Smith has 548 yards and that’s puts him on pace for 974 yards. Even with Flacco’s huge game, Smith only tallied 67 yards on 2 catches.
    Projected winner: Over (Matthew)
  3. Who has more fantasy points: R. Wayne or P. Garcon?
    Wayne leads 105-26. Garcon was on BYE.
    Projected winner: R. Wayne (Nate)
  4. Who has more fantasy points: F. Gore or S. Jackson?
    Gore leads 110-70. Jackson finally had a good week but he still trails by 40. His usage this year just doesn’t allow him to make up a whole lot of ground.
    Projected winner: F. Gore (Nate)
  5. Over/Under 44.5 targets for D. Branch?
    Branch had a whopping 8 targets and is right back in this bet with 20 targets for the season. But don’t get too excited, he’s still only on pace for 36 targets.
    Projected winner: Under (Matthew)
  6. Will M. Turner be a top 10 RB?
    Turner slides down two spots to #18. Turner is too inconsistent with his production to be a top 10 RB.
    Projected winner: No (Matthew)
  7. Over/Under 3,500 passing yards for C. Palmer?
    Palmer has 2,723 yards and is on pace for 4,841 yards. At this rate, Palmer will win this bet before November is over.
    Projected winner: Over (Matthew)
  8. Over/Under 23.5 passing TDs for C. Palmer?
    Palmer has 15 TDs and is on pace for 27. His TD production is taken an uptick in the recent weeks and it’s looking better for him to reach 24 TDs. I’m still cautious on his TD production however.
    Projected winner: Under (Nate)
  9. Over/Under 7.5 wins for the NY Jets?
    The Jets lost in Seattle and are still sitting on 3 wins.
    Projected winner: Under (Matthew)
  10. Who averages more fantasy points per start: R. Wilson or A. Luck?
    Luck leads 17.6 to 12.0. By hook or by crook, Luck will put up the fantasy points.
    Projected winner: A. Luck (Matthew)
  11. Who has more fantasy points: M. Wallace or A. Brown?
    Wallace leads 86-50. This may just be enough with Leftwich at QB for the forseable future.
    Projected winner: M. Wallace (Nate)
  12. Who has more fantasy points: M. Schaub or J. Cutler?
    Schaub leads 116 to 101. Cutler is out with a concussion and that opens the door for Schaub to create a nice lead in this bet.
    Projected winner: M. Schaub (Nate)
  13. Is D. McFadden a top 3 RB (using ppg)?
    McFadden is at #17. He actually moved up but he’s still a far cry from the top 3.
    Projected winner: No (Nate)
  14. Who will have more carries: M. Jones-Drew or M. Lynch?
    Lynch leads 212-86. This pretty much all wrapped up.
    Projected winner: Lynch (Matthew)
  15. Over/Under 44.5 Targets for any Patriots WR (excludes Welker & Lloyd)?
    Branch takes over the lead with 20 targets but he’s still under the pace to reach 45 targets.
    Projected winner: Under (Matthew)
  16. Who has more fantasy points: M. Turner or C. Johnson?
    Johnson leads 109-89. Johnson continues to impress while Turner didn’t do a whole lot.
    Projected winner: C. Johnson (Matthew)
  17. Who has more fantasy points: P. Thomas or M. Ingram?
    Thomas leads 50-29. Ingram has been playing better the last few weeks but he still does not get enough touches to make up any sort of ground in this bet. The Saints backfield is also a mess and it’s hard to say who’ll be the #1 back in New Orleans.
    Projected winner: P. Thomas (Nate)
  18. Who has more fantasy points from week 2 on: M. Schaub or J. Flacco?
    Flacco leads 121-102. I still don’t trust Flacco even after his 29 point week but a 19 point lead may be difficult to overcome. I’m still putting my money behind Schaub but if he can’t make up any ground in the next two weeks, this very well may be Flacco’s bet.
    Projected winner: M. Schaub (Nate)
  19. Who has more fantasy points from week 2 on: B. Roethlisberger or J. Flacco?
    Roethlisberger leads 133-121. It sounds like Roethlisberger may missed an extended amount of time and on this assumption, Flacco should be able to create a solid lead for himself.
    Projected winner: J. Flacco (Matthew)
  20. Is M. Turner a top 15 RB from week 4 on?
    Here’s the latest standings.

    # Running Back Points
    1 Doug Martin, TB 126
    1 Adrian Peterson, Min 126
    3 Arian Foster, Hou 106
    4 Chris Johnson, Ten 101
    5 Marshawn Lynch, Sea 98
    6 Stevan Ridley, NE 83
    7 LeSean McCoy, Phi 76
    8 Ahmad Bradshaw, NYG 74
    8 Frank Gore, SF 74
    10 Trent Richardson, Cle 70
    11 Shonn Greene, NYJ 68
    12 Willis McGahee, Den 67
    13 Matt Forte, Chi 64
    14 Alfred Morris, Was 63
    15 Fred Jackson, Buf 60
    16 Michael Turner, Atl RB 59

    Projected winner: Yes (Nate)

  21. Who averages more fantasy points per game from week 6 on: A. Dalton or A. Luck?
    Luck leads 16.2 to 15.5. Dalton is hanging in there and should be able to make this an interesting bet for the rest of the season. Luck’s ability to pick up rushing TDs leads me to believe that he has a higher fantasy ceiling than Dalton.
    Projected winner: A. Luck (Matthew)
  22. Who has more fantasy points from week 9 on: L. Fitzgerald or D. Moore?
    Moore leads 21-13 and Fitzgerald was on BYE in week 10. I’m still not completely sold on Moore. I need to see a 7-8 catch game out of him if I want to believe he’ll be better than Fitzgerald.
    Projected winner: L. Fitzgerald (Nate)
  23. Who averages more fantasy points per game from week 10 on: R. Wilson or J. Cutler?
    Wilson leads 16.0 to 0.0. It’s unfortunate that Cutler got knocked out of the game before he could manage any fantasy points. This zero will make it extremely difficult for him to win this bet.
    Projected winner: R. Wilson (Nate)
  24. Will the NY Giants win at least 10 games and the NFC East?
    The Giants are currently 6-4 and have a 1.5 game lead in the NFC East. I do think that the Giants will win the NFC East but I’m not so sure they’ll get 10 wins. Here’s their remaining schedule: Green Bay, @Washington, New Orleans, @Atlanta, @Baltimore, Philadelphia. I see them winning maybe 3 of these games  (WAS, NO, PHI). BAL and ATL will be tough at home and Green Bay may roll the Giants if the BYE week doesn’t help out Eli.
    Projected winner: No (Matthew)

Closing Thoughts

Nate leads the board 12-5. With projections, Nate will win 23-18.