2012 Football Board – Week 3 Recap

Normally I post these recaps on Tuesday evenings but some reason I didn’t get around to posting this last night. To those that anxiously await this, I apologize. The other 99%, ignore what I just said.

This past week was rather quiet on the board making front as the only one “made” was the weekly Pierre Thomas and Mark Ingram bet. The most excitement this week came from the drinking game that’ve been clamoring for ideas on. Go comment on it so I can have some more ideas to work with.

In another bit of housekeeping, I’ve decided to for go a final week recap of the baseball board. It’s fairly obvious that Nate is going to handily win it, so there’s no point in hustling. I’ll continue to update the stats each morning until the end of the season. I’ll then post a final recap shortly afterwards. Now let’s get to recapping the week in football board bets.

Closed Bets

  1. Who has more fantasy points in week 3: P. Thomas or M. Ingram?
    And Mark Ingram goes back to being a disappointing fantasy running back. Pierre Thomas won this week 6-1. I own Ingram in the Man’s League and in my dynasty league and would desperately love to see Ingram turn in to a solid RB or at least a decent FLEX option.
    Winner: P. Thomas (Nate)

Open Bets

  1. Who has more fantasy points: M. Turner or A. Peterson?
    Turner actually looked decent this past week and picked up 14 fantasy points. Peterson was solid as well but did not find the end zone and only had 10 points. It’s encouraging to see a good game out of Turner and 25 carries from Peterson. My confidence is still with Peterson, despite Minnesota being careful to not over work him. Peterson leads 38-27.
    Projected winner: A. Peterson (Matthew)
  2. Over/Under 969 receiving yards for T. Smith?
    Smith had a huge game this week and upped his total receiving yards to 235 yards. That puts him on pace for 1,253 yards. I’m not so sure we’ll get 120+ yards from Smith every week but I think he could average at least 56 yards per game, which is what he’ll need to do from here on out in order to reach 969 yards.
    Projected winner: Over (Matthew)
  3. Who has more fantasy points: R. Wayne or P. Garcon?
    Wayne was yet again solid while Garcon sat out again due to injury. Wayne extended his lead to 34-16. Garcon really can’t miss any more time if he wants to stay in this bet. It may be the Redskins fan in me but I still believe that Garcon can win this. It’s hard to forget about how good he looked with RGIII in week 1.
    Projected winner: Garcon (Matthew)
  4. Who has more fantasy points: F. Gore or S. Jackson?
    Neither back did much this past week but Gore did extend his lead to 36-15. Jackson will make this a close wager but I still think that Gore will eek out a win…for now.
    Projected winner: F. Gore (Nate)
  5. Over/Under 44.5 targets for D. Branch?
    Branch picked up 3 targets and that puts him right on pace to go just over 44.5 targets. I’m not confident that he’ll be able to keep this pace, especially once Hernandez returns from his injury. Right now, he’s at best the 4th target in NE.
    Projected winner: Under (Matthew)
  6. Will M. Turner be a top 10 RB?
    Turner was better this week but he’s still the #22 RB. I’ll need to see more week 3 performances out of him if I’m going to consider him a top 10 RB.
    Projected winner: No (Matthew)
  7. Over/Under 3,500 passing yards for C. Palmer?
    Palmer had 209 yards and still on pace for 4,688 yards. He did lose DHB and maybe his TE, Brandon Myers, but he’s got enough room to have a couple of off weeks and still be on pace for at least 3,500 yards.
    Projected winner: Over (Matthew)
  8. Over/Under 23.5 passing TDs for C. Palmer?
    Palmer picked up 3 TD passes in week 3, upping his total to 5 TDs. This puts him on pace for 27 TDs for the season. I’m still not sold on the TD passes. I may start to waiver on this thought if he picks up at least 2 TDs against Denver this week.
    Projected winner: Under (Nate)
  9. Over/Under 7.5 wins for the NY Jets?
    The Jets picked up their second win but they lost Revis for the season and go up against SF then Houston. They’ve got a tough schedule this year and it’s going to be difficult to reach 8 wins.
    Projected winner: Over (Nate)
  10. Who averages more fantasy points per start: R. Wilson or A. Luck?
    Luck keeps increasing his fantasy every week, and he now leads the bet 16.3 pps to Wilson’s 11.3 pps. Wilson just doesn’t pick up enough passing yards for me to believe that he’s capable to stringing together better weeks than Luck. He’s in there at QB to not make mistakes and hand the ball off to Marshawn Lynch.
    Projected winner: A. Luck (Matthew)
  11. Who has more fantasy points: M. Wallace or A. Brown?
    Both guys had good weeks but Wallace managed to outscore Brown again and extend his lead to 40-26. I still believe in Brown since he has more targets, he just needs a week where he finds the end zone and Wallace doesn’t.
    Projected winner: A. Brown (Matthew)
  12. Who has more fantasy points: M. Schaub or J. Cutler?
    Schaub had a fantasy week with 25 points and now leads 51-27. This past week may have just won it for Schaub as I have no faith in Cutler to mount any sort of comeback.
    Projected winner: M. Schaub (Nate)
  13. Is D. McFadden a top 3 RB (using ppg)?
    McFadden finally had a good week but even then he was only the #6 RB for week 3. He’s creeping up towards the top but he’ll need to have several 25+ point weeks to really have a shot at this. He’s currently up to #17 with a 10.3ppg
    Projected winner: No (Nate)
  14. Who will have more carries: M. Jones-Drew or M. Lynch?
    MJD did close the gap a bit but still trails 59-72. Both guys are workhorses but I think the week 1 workload for MJD will be the difference in this bet.
    Projected winner: Lynch (Matthew)
  15. Over/Under 44.5 Targets for any Patriots WR (excludes Welker & Lloyd)?
    Edelman had 7 targets and that brings his total up to 15 targets. Unless he completely falls out of the gameplan, he should have no problem reaching 45 targets.
    Projected winner: Over (Nate)
  16. Who has more fantasy points: M. Turner or C. Johnson?
    Turner leads 27-8. Is Johnson really done because it’s certainly looking that way.
    Projected winner: M. Turner (Nate)
  17. Who has more fantasy points: P. Thomas or M. Ingram?
    Thomas didn’t have a great week and only picked up 6 points but that still way better than Ingram’s 1 point. Thomas is slowly pulling away and now has a 22-13 lead. Thomas should keep adding to his lead each week and win this thrilling bet.
    Projected winner: P. Thomas (Nate)
  18. Who has more fantasy points from week 2 on: M. Schaub or J. Flacco?
    After a stinker in week 2, both guys fired back with 25 fantasy points. Flacco leads 34-32 and I still prefer him over the run-oriented Texans.
    Projected winner: J. Flacco (Matthew)
  19. Who has more fantasy points from week 2 on: B. Roethlisberger or J. Flacco?
    Roethlisberger had an even better week and now leads 50-34. I’m still sticking with Roethlisberger until someone finds a running game in Pittsburgh.
    Projected winner: B. Roethlisberger (Nate)
  20. Who has more fantasy points each week: P. Thomas or M. Ingram?
    Thomas is the better back and ought to win the majority of weeks.
    Projected winner: P. Thomas (Nate)

Closing Thoughts

Three weeks down and Nate leads 8-2. 10-10. Again, I’m not factoring in the weekly Thomas-Ingram wagers since I cannot predict what each guy will do each week, if I could then I need to change my line of work. So, setting that bet aside, I have Nate winning 17-12. The majority of the Thomas wagers should go Nate’s way so that make this a big hole for Matthew to get out of. I ultimately believe that Matthew planting a flag in Ingram will cost him the 2012 football board.