2010 Football Board – Week 14 Recap


Three weeks are left in the 2010 NFL regular season and there’s still bets being added to the board. No bets were completed this week so the win totals haven’t changed but what about the rest of the bets? Which bets are wrapped up and which ones are starting to lean in one direction? Let’s recap the bets and see where this all stands.

Completed Bets:

  1. Will Revis cover Welker for 70% of NE’s snaps?
    Still waiting for word on this bet
    Projected winner: No (Nate)

Open Bets:

  1. Who has more fantasy points: Clinton Portis or C.J. Spiller?
    Portis is at 37 pts and Spiller is at 34 pts. Spiller picked up another 3 points in week 14 and should be able to keep chipping away at Portis’ lead. He doesn’t get a lot of carries but it’s enough to pick up a couple of points each week.
    Projected winner: Spiller (Nate)
    Confidence Meter: TMR <—–—-|–——o->Nate
  2. Who has more fantasy points: Wes Welker or Mike Sims-Walker?
    Welker is at 116 pts and Sims-Walker is at 72 pts. Welker is looking like his solid self and the same can be said about Sims-Walker but in his case it’s his consistent lack of production.
    Projected winner: Welker (Matthew)
    Confidence Meter: TMR <0——-–|—-——>Nate
  3. Who has more fantasy points: Fred Jackson or C.J. Spiller?
    Jackson is at 126 pts and Spiller is at 34 pts. Even if Jackson were to get injured and miss the last 3 games, Spiller would have to go ballistic to even catch up.
    Projected winner: Jackson (Matthew)
    Confidence Meter: TMR <0——–|———->Nate
  4. Who has more fantasy points: Donald Brown or Cadillac Williams?
    Brown is at 51 pts and Williams is at 73 pts. Cadillac only had 3 carries in week 14 and is now pretty much not a part of the Bucs offense.  He may get a few more points the rest of the season so it’s up to Brown to make up the difference.  It’s not impossible but Brown isn’t getting the goal line opportunities and pissing off Peyton doesn’t help his case.
    Projected winner: Williams (Nate)
    Confidence Meter: TMR <——–|—0—>Nate
  5. Will Tom Brady throw at least 31 TDs?
    Brady currently has 29 TD passes and is on pace for 36 TDs. Even in blizzard like conditions, Brady still managed to pick up 2 more TD passes.  He’ll probably get his 31st TD next week against Green Bay
    Projected winner: over 31 TDs (Nate)
    Confidence Meter: TMR <——–|—-–0>Nate
  6. Will Joe Flacco throw for 4,000 yards?
    Flacco has thrown for 3,223 yards and is on pace for 3,967. Flacco did not capitalize on the Houston pass defense to inflate his passing numbers. As a result, he’ll have to step it up against New Orleans, Cleveland and Cincinnati. This bet will most likely come down to the 4th quarter of the Cincy game.
    Projected winner: Over 4,000 yards (Matthew)
    Confidence Meter: TMR <——0|——-—>Nate
  7. Who has more fantasy points: LaDainian Tomlinson or Leon Washington?
    Tomlinson is at 136 pts and Washington is at 24 pts. This bet is over.
    Projected winner: Tomlinson (Matthew)
    Confidence Meter: TMR <0——–|———->Nate
  8. Who has more receiving yards: Felix Jones (-50 yds) or Marion Barber?
    Jones has 346 yards (factoring in the handicap) and Barber has 49 yards receiving. Another bet that is essentially over.
    Projected winner: Jones (Matthew)
    Confidence Meter: TMR <0——–|———->Nate
  9. Who has more fantasy points from week 2 on: Shonn Greene or Matt Forte (-10 pts)?
    Forte has 113 pts (factoring in the handicap) and Greene has 69 pts. Greene will need to finish the season on a tear to catch up to Forte. Unfortunately for Greene, the time split in New York doesn’t seem to be going away.
    Projected winner: Forte (Nate)
    Confidence Meter: TMR <——–|——–o–>Nate
  10. Who has more fantasy points from week 6 on: Dustin Keller or Vernon Davis?
    Keller has 27 pts and Davis has 64 pts. Another solid week from Davis pretty much decided this bet.
    Projected winner: Davis (Nate)
    Confidence Meter: TMR <——–|——--0->Nate
  11. Who has more fantasy points from week 8 on: Pierre Garcon or Miles Austin?
    Garcon has 57 pts and Austin has 58 pts. Well, I was wrong about Garcon. It was hard for me to look past weeks 1-12 where he was a major fantasy disappointment. Garcon looks to be like a solid start the rest of the way. On the other hand, Austin is failing produce even with Dez Bryant gone.
    Projected winner: Garcon (Matthew)
    Confidence Meter: TMR <—-0—|———->Nate
  12. Who has more fantasy points from week 9 on: Felix Jones or Ronnie Brown?
    Jones has 58 pts and Brown has 42 pts. Jerry Jones wants Felix Jones to succeed and he’s taking advantage of that each week. Jones should continue to be fairly reliable, unlike Brown. Brown still gets some yardage but that’s about it. Brown needs to have a double digit week if he wants to have any shot at this wager.
    Projected winner: Jones (Matthew)
    Confidence Meter: TMR <0——|———->Nate
  13. Who has more fantasy points from week 15 on: Deion Branch or Steve Johnson?
    Branch has been about as a reliable as a start over the last month, and on the flipside Johnson’s breakout status has been tarnished a bit. Without looking at matchups, I like Branch over Johnson…when in doubt take the veteran WR over the rookie WR. Looking at the matchups, Branch faces GB(3), BUF(4), MIA(6) and Johnson faces MIA(6), NE(31) and NYJ(9). It may look like Johnson has an advantage in the matchups but don’t look past how dominate NE has been the last couple of games. This should be a close bet.
    Projected winner: Branch (Matthew)
    Confidence Meter: TMR <——-0|———->Nate

Nate is projected to win the board 15-13. Matthew has made it close but he’ll need to count on Branch winning, Flacco throwing for 4,000 yards and Donald Brown going nuts if he wants to at least pull a tie.  Saddle up the high horse since it’s looking like Nate will comfortably win the board.

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