2010 Football Board – Week 8 Recap

First off, a bit of house cleaning. Nate picked up his 2nd win of the year when Drew Brees outscored Ryan Fitzpatrick in week 8. This put Nate up 2-1 on the board.

Thanks to a fellow listener who challenged Matthew and Nate to man up and make some more wagers. It immediately got two bets on the board and possibly inspired a 3rd. It’s refreshing to see the guys trying to make some more wagers, even if Nate does chicken out of them from time to time.

  1. Who has more fantasy points: Clinton Portis or C.J. Spiller?
    Portis is at 33 pts and Spiller is at 25 pts. Portis is beginning to practice again and could very will return in a few weeks. Spiller is still the #2 back in Buffalo and just isn’t getting an opportunity to make a fantasy impact. I’m changing my opinion on this bet due to Spiller’s lack of production and Portis returning soon.
    Projected winner: Portis (Matthew)
  2. Who has more fantasy points: Wes Welker or Mike Sims-Walker?
    Welker is at 47 pts and Sims-Walker is at 58 pts. As inconsistent as Sims-Walker is, he’s still capable of putting up huge fantasy numbers. The New England passing attack is a bit of a mess with the go-to-guy seemingly changing every week.  Welker has only had 20 pts since from week 3 until now. Sim-Walker had 21 last week alone.
    Projected winner: Sims-Walker (Nate)
  3. Who has more fantasy points: Fred Jackson or C.J. Spiller?
    Jackson is at 33 pts and Spiller is at 25 pts. Jackson is getting the majority of the work and should win the bet barring an injury.
    Projected winner: Jackson (Matthew)
  4. Who has more fantasy points: Donald Brown or Cadillac Williams?
    Brown is at 16 pts and Williams is at 39 pts. Both have been pretty horrid and will probably continue to be. Cadillac’s early season success will ultimately win him this bet, since both guys should put up the same production as backups.
    Projected winner: Williams (Nate)
  5. Will Tom Brady throw at least 31 TDs?
    Brady currently has 12 TD passes and is on pace for 27 TDs. Brady hasn’t had a multi-TD game since week 3. This will come down to the wire as it’ll only take a handful of multi-TD games to get back on pace.
    Projected winner: over 31 TDs (Nate)
  6. Will Joe Flacco throw for 4,000 yards?
    Flacco has thrown for 1,651 yards and is on pace for 3,774. He’s picked up his pace the last couple of weeks but he’ll need to put up some 350 yard games if he wants to surpass 4,000 yards.
    Projected winner: Under 4,000 yards (Nate)
  7. Who has more fantasy points: LaDainian Tomlinson or Leon Washington?
    Tomlinson is at 93 pts and Washington is at 18 pts. This bet is over.
    Projected winner: Tomlinson (Matthew)
  8. Who has more receiving yards: Felix Jones (-50 yds) or Marion Barber?
    Jones has 107 yards (factoring in the handicap) and Barber has 28 yards receiving. Both guys have been pretty bad but at least Jones is looking like an option in the passing game, whereas Barber is not.
    Projected winner: Jones (Matthew)
  9. Who has more fantasy points from week 2 on: Shonn Greene or Matt Forte (-10 pts)?
    Forte has 52 pts (factoring in the handicap) and Greene has 37 pts. Unless something changes in New York, Forte should still rack up the points, despite losing goal line carries. He’s more involved in the offense than Greene ever was.
    Projected winner: Forte (Nate)
  10. Who has more fantasy points from week 2 on: Kyle Orton or Vince Young?
    Orton has 124 pts and Young has 56 pts. Randy Moss should help Vince Young out but Orton has too much of a lead at this point.
    Projected winner: Orton (Matthew)
  11. Who has more fantasy points from week 6 on: Dustin Keller or Vernon Davis?
    Keller has 11 pts and Davis has 23 pts. Davis no longer has Alex Smith throwing to him so that ups his value but he is dealing with an ankle injury. Keller’s production has been down and that’s due to Mark Sanchez’s inconsistent play. Keller is healthy and I like him to catch up to Davis this week.
    Projected winner: Keller (Matthew)
  12. Will Kenny Britt have 1.5 100yd receiving games?
    Britt currently has 0 10oyd receiving games with Vince Young. And he may not get any with anyone the rest of the season.  He went down in week 8 with a hamstring injury that sounds  like will keep him out of action for several weeks. It certainly doesn’t look promising for the up-and-coming Britt.
    Projected winner: Under (Nate)
  13. Who has more fantasy points from week 8 on: Pierre Garcon or Miles Austin?
    Garcon has 7 pts and Austin has 11 pts. This should be a close bet as they’ll both be productive each week.  Austin however is the #1 guy in Dallas where Garcon is the #2.
    Projected winner: Austin (Nate)
  14. Who has more fantasy points from week 9 on: Felix Jones or Ronnie Brown?
    Brown will probably start losing some more playing time to Ricky Williams. Jones keeps getting nicked up. I’m putting both names in to a hat and going to choose one at random.
    Projected winner: Brown (Nate)

Nate’s apparent strategy of picking bets he can win seems to be working this year.  I have him projected to win the board 10-7 (or 9-8 if I had drew Jones’ name). It’s really anyone’s board to win as there’s still a lot of really close bets.