It’s amazing that we’re already a quarter of the way done with the football season and it feels like it started just the other day. Now that there’s a decent amount of bets on the board, I’ll track them weekly so that you can see where they stand. Without further ado, let’s run down the open bets on the board.
Who has more fantasy points: Clinton Portis or C.J. Spiller?
Portis is at 33 pts and Spiller is at 18 pts. Portis was injured in his week 4 matchup and Spiller continues to share limited carried with Lynch and FJax. I’d like to think at some point the Bills will realize that they’re not going to win anything this year and will give Spiller more work. Portis is injured yet again but if he can stay healthy should win this. It’s still way to early to predict a winner but Portis looks like the better option at this point.
Projected winner: Portis (Matthew)
- Who has more fantasy points: Wes Welker or Mike Sims-Walker?
Welker is at 38 pts and Sims-Walker is at 17 pts. You could hardly tell that Welker had a knee injury last year with the way he’s currently racking up the points. Sim-Walker only had one target in his game with the Colts and did not record a catch. If you like betting against the house then Sims-Walker is your man.
Projected winner: Welker (Matthew)
- Who has more fantasy points: Fred Jackson or C.J. Spiller?
Jackson is at 12 pts and Spiller is at 18 pts. Jackson has carried the ball more than Spiller but Spiller has been targeted more in the passing game. It’s a coin flip at this point since they’re all getting fairly equal playing time.
Projected winner: Too close to call
- Who has more fantasy points: Donald Brown or Cadillac Williams?
Brown is at 14 pts and Williams is at 18 pts. Brown is dealing with a hamstring injury so he was unable to make up any ground on Cadillac during his bye week. Cadillac is clearly the starter in Tampa Bay but will have his workload cut in to by LaGarrette Blount. This should actually help him as it’ll reduce his chance for injury. Brown still appears to have value in Colts blowouts.
Projected winner: Williams (Nate)
- Will Tom Brady throw at least 31 TDs?
Brady currently has 8 TD passes and is on pace for 43 TDs. The Patriots passing game is looking good and it helps that Brady now has some good red zone options at TE with Hernandez and Gronkowski.
Projected winner: over 31 TDs (Nate)
- Will Joe Flacco throw for 4,000 yards?
Flacco has thrown for 920 yards and is on pace for 3,680. He’ll need to be more consistent if he wants to reach 4,000 yards but he has gone up against some pretty good defense so far. He’s got a good chance down the road to make up the deficit against NE, HOU and TB but he still has to face PIT and CIN again. I think he’ll end up around 3,800 yards.
Projected winner: Under 4,000 yards (Nate)
- Who has more fantasy points: LaDainian Tomlinson or Leon Washington?
Tomlinson is at 57 pts and Washington is at 16 pts. LT looks firmly entrenched in the offense in NYJ while Washington only has value on kick returns. LT should run away with this bet.
Projected winner: Tomlinson (Matthew)
- Who has more receiving yards: Felix Jones (-50 yds) or Marion Barber?
Jones has -12 yards (factoring in the handicap) and Barber has 6 yards receiving. They’ve both have similar targets and receptions so this bet is essentially deadlocked. I fully expect this bet to be close all the way to the end but given the advantage Barber has I’ll stick with him to win the bet.
Projected winner: Barber (Nate)
Who has more fantasy points from week 2 on: Shonn Greene or Matt Forte (-10 pts)?
Forte has 6 pts (factoring in the handicap) and Greene has 19 pts. Forte has a better opportunity to get more points but his offense is not looking too promising at this point. Greene should still get carried in NYJ but he’s in a timeshare with L.T. I’m going with the back whose offense is looking very solid so far.
Projected winner: Greene (Matthew)
- Who has more fantasy points from week 2 on: Kyle Orton or Vince Young?
Orton has 62 pts and Young has 16 pts. Orton is looking like Kurt Warner so far and Young is looking like Vince Young. Orton should easily win this bet.
Projected winner: Orton (Matthew)
So after 4 weeks of play, Matthew leads the board 6-4 (with one too close to predict). Hopefully Nate and Matthew will debate some more and get some more wagers on the board as it’s looking pretty light at this point.